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Text and translation
English translation
3035. It was narrated that Abū Hurairah said: "The Messenger of Allāh ﷺ said: 'Al-'Irāq will withhold its Qafiz (its measure) and its Dirhams, and Ash-Shām will withhold its Mudd (its measure) and its Dinārs, and Egypt will withhold its Irdabb (its measure) and its Dinārs. Then you will return to where you started.'" Zuhair (one of the narrators) said it three times "and the flesh and blood of Abū Hurairah bear witness to that." (Sahih)
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Commentary
As-Sawād is a name which was used for a very large portion of Al-'Irāq which was frequented by date-palms and farms, the exact limits of the area that the name was applied to differed over time. This Hadīth is a Prophetic prophecy. The first part of it, contains the glad tiding that these areas shall be conquered, and spoils and tributes shall accrue from them. Thereafter there shall come a time when the inhabitants of the area shall withhold their payments, either through their blank refusal to pay, or because they will accept Islam, thus removing themselves from paying the Jizyah, Ushur or other than that, or because they will rebel after entering Islam. A number of the earlier commentaries, like that of Imām An-Nawawī, mention that these things had occurred by his time, with the people of those lands accepting Islam, which according to their view at that time, indicates that the truth of the Hadīth had already come to light by their time.