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English translation
2226. Sa'eed bin Jumhān narrated: "Safīnah narrated to me, he said: 'The Messenger of Allāh ﷺ said: "Al-Khilāfah will be in my Ummah for thirty years, then there will be monarchy after that.'" Then Safīnah said to me: 'Count the Khilāfah of Abū Bakr,' then he said: 'Count the Khilāfah of 'Umar and the Khilāfah of 'Uthmān.' Then he said to me: 'Count the Khilāfah of 'Ali.'" He said: "So we found that they add up to thirty
years.” Sa’eed said: “I said to him: ‘Banū Umaiyyah claim that the Khilāfah is among them.’ He said: ‘Banū Az-Zarqā’ lie, rather they are a monarchy, among the worst of monarchies.”” (Hasan)
[Abū ‘Eisā said:] There is a narration on this topic from ‘Umar and ‘Alī saying that the Prophet ﷺ did not order anything regarding the Khilāfah. And this Hadīth is Hasan, more than one narrator reported it from Sa’eed bin Jumhān, and we do not know of it except from his narration.
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Commentary
Another narration by Safinah appearing in Sunan Abū Dawūd contains the words: Khilāfah An-Nubuwwah i.e. Prophetic Succession (will last after me for) thirty years, then Allāh will give (power and authority) to whomsoever He wills. The Hadīth thus tells us that caliphate after the pattern of the Prophet e.g., in full accord with the principles and methods of the Prophet ﷺ, will continue for thirty years, after that it will become kingship or monarchy.